Tuesday, July 31, 2007
DELAYS AND NEW VENTURES
entrepreneurial ventures starting up. Look for new posts on August 4th/5th covering:
1. Revamped Power Ranking - One ranking with only playoff contenders included;
2. Report card on preseason prospect predictions;
3. September call-ups to watch for; and
4. Report card on preseason predictions for team records, playoffs and awards
Thanks for your patience -- hope all is well!
Wednesday, July 11, 2007
NL Power Rankings (July 10, 2007)
Tuesday, July 10, 2007
AL Power Rankings (July 10, 2007)
White Sox/39-47/10 (12) - Congrats to Kenny Williams and the southsiders on signing Buehrle (shown right, celebrating). Let's see how quickly they can unload Dye (and whether they can get anything of substance in return). I'd check Arizona to see if Brett Anderson is available, but my guess is that's aiming high. The supplemental pick may be more valuable than anything they get through trade talks.
Monday, July 2, 2007
AL Power Rankings (July 2, 2007)
Friday, June 29, 2007
NL Power Rankings (July 2, 20007)
Brewers/47-34/3 (6) - Last year, Braun and Gallardo were showcased in the futures game (pictured right). It's not a stretch to think they could find their way back to the All-Star festivities in the Bronx. Can't say I agree with dropping Gallardo to the pen in favor of Capuano, but at least Milwuakee has stayed away from the silly "back to Nashville" talk.
NL Cy Young: Jake Peavy, Padres (9-2, 2.09 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, .214 BAA, 119 K/31 BB/ 112 IP)
Saturday, June 2, 2007
Road to Omaha (Parts 3 and 4 of 4)
Now that we're caught up, here are the last 12 and 6 Super Regional and World Series picks, respectively:
Regional/Regional - Regional Winner/Regional Winner - Super Regional Winner
1. San Diego/Long Beach - San Diego/Long Beach State - San Diego
Comments: Brian Matusz (10-3, 2.73) ranks second in the nation with 156 strikeouts. He and Josh Romanski make up the best 1-2 punch in the Region. LB State is not the most talented team on paper, but battled through a brutal schedule to host a Regional. The battle-tested squad will have enough to escape a Regional that contains a slightly down Pepperdine and frightfully inconsistent UCLA, but not to get past the stacked Toreros.
Don't Forget About: UCLA and Pepperdine, who each are probably more talented than LBS on paper, and certainly capable of knocking off the Dirt Bags. Give the slight nod to UCLA and a hot/cold tandem in Tim Murphy and Gavin Brooks.
2. Chapel Hill/Columbia - UNC/South Carolina - UNC
Comments: The days of South Carolina pounding UNC out of the Super Regionals are far gone. The Tar Heels are in great shape to make another run in Omaha, backed by Friday/Saturday tandem of Alex White and Luke Putkonen and a stable of solid arms in the pen. The Gamecocks have a potent offense (2nd in nation in HRs), but have been inconsistent on the mound. Give the Super Regional nod to the better staff.
Don't Forget About: Charlotte. If the offense pulls its weight (and Adam Mills takes care of the Brackman-less Wolfpack on Friday), Spencer Steedley and Zach Rosenbaum could give South Carolina all it can handle on Saturday and Sunday.
3. Tempe/Oxford - Arizona State/Mississippi - Arizona State
Comments: Ole Miss should not have trouble with its Regional, lining up against three teams with serious question marks (So. Miss - health of Trey Sutton, 1b/Troy and Sam Houston St. - starting pitching). ASUs offense lead the nation in scoring (9.6 runs/game), but might lack the pitching depth required for the 8-team double elimination format of the World Series. Fortunately for the Sun Devils, the Regional is only a 4-team tournament, and the Supers are just a best of 3.
Don't Forget About: UC Riverside. Baseball America describes Riverside as the "deepest collection of quality pitching on the West Coast." They'll certainly be tested in Tempe. If the Highlanders can steal one on Saturday or Sunday, their depth may be the difference on Monday's playoff.
4. Houston/College Station - Rice/Texas A&M - Rice
Comments: Rice began the season as the number one team in the nation, and are poised to make amends for last years meltdown against Oregon State in Omaha. While Baylor, TCU and Prarie View A&M are each strong squads, Rice is the most complete team and a heavy favorite. Texas A&M will look to play an up-tempo style offensively -- stealing, bunting and hitting-and-running. Aggies could make the Supers fun, but Rice's blend of power arms and power bats should take care of business in two.
Don't Forget About: Le Moyne. The Dolphins pulled the biggest upset of the 2006 tournament last year, knocking off #1 Nebraska. Bobby Blevins and Eric Beaulac will look to provide a 1-2 punch on the mound; SS Andy Parrino will need to come up big for the offense.
5. Fayetteville/Columbia - Oklahoma State/Louisville - Louisville
Comments: Oklahoma State has been a bit of a disappointment this season. Still, the offense is one of the most talented in all of college baseball, and more than capable of slugging the Cowboys into the Supers. Louisville ranks 4th in the nation with a 2.89 team ERA. The Cardinals are my pick to be this year's surprise team in Omaha, relying on a talented and deep pitching staff to get them through to (and win a couple in) the World Series.
Don't Forget About: Arkansas and Missouri. Both #1 seeds are more than capable of winning their respective Regionals. Arkansas's biggest question question is pitching depth. If they are forced to a Monday game, they may have trouble keeping the opposition offense under 7 runs, regardless of who that opponent is. Missouri has an unproven, sophomore staff and benefited from a slightly down Big 12. Still, the Tigers have shown a knack for pulling out the close ones (8-0 in one run games), and shouldn't be counted out.
6. Tallahassee/Myrtle Beach - Florida State/Clemson - Florida State
Comments: FSU will throw Bryan Henry (14-1, 2.54), a veteran staff and a .355 team BA (best in the nation) at Miss St, Stetson and Bethune-Cookman. The Seminoles will be heavy favorites to be a three and done Regional winner. Clemson drew a great bracket, matching up one of the best staffs in the nation with a pitcher-friendly field at Coastal Carolina. Clemson was the only team to beat the Seminoles in a series during the regular season, and Saturday starter David Kopp dominated FSU in the ACC tourney, allowing 0 ER over 9 IP. It will be tough for the Tigers to get the best of the 'Noles for a third time this season.
Don't Forget About: Coastal Carolina. The Chanticleers flat out mash, boasting four players with 9 or more homeruns. The pitching is solid, with Friday starter Bobby Gagg (11-2, 2.75) leading the charge. Given the stadium, it may be tough for an offense that relies on the long ball to get past the pitching of Clemson. If they do, however, we could see some serious fireworks in an FSU/Coastal series.
Summary:
Projected Regional Winners - Texas, Oral Roberts, Vandy, UVA, San Diego, Long Beach St, UNC, South Carolina, Arizona State, Ole Miss, Rice, Texas A&M, Oklahoma St, Louisville, FSU and Clemson
Projected World Series - Rice, Vandy, UNC, Texas, San Diego, Arizona State, Florida State and Louisville
Projected Champion - Rice
Friday, June 1, 2007
NL Power Rankings (June 1, 2007)
Mets/34-18/1/1 - Solid weak for the Mets, who finished 5-1 against the Marlins and Giants. Delgado is heating up, which will be key depending on how the Beltran injury shakes out. Not sure I'd part with prospects for Willis -- might as well ride the pitching as far as they can. The bats will keep them in most ballgames.
Padres/31-22/2/3 - Kouz continuing to look more and more like a MLB third-baseman. The staff is firing on all cylinders, ranked 1st in the NL in ERA (2.92) and WHIP (1.15), 2nd in BAA (.233) and QS (32). I'd hate to be up against Peavy, Young. Maddux and Germano come October.Dodgers/31-22/3/4 - 4-2 on the week with series wins against the Brewers and the (cough) Nats. Weekend against the Bucs before a showdown with the Padres. Loney is up; let's see if he has the stick to stay.
Diamondbacks/32-23/4/6 - A perfect week for the D-backs (6-0), extending their win streak to 7. Unless the Giants deal for one more big bat, this could be a three team race by July. Who am I kidding? It's a three team race no matter what. Youngsters will still be prone to slumps, though (see Stephen Drew).
Braves/31-23/5/2 - A sweep at the hands of the Phillies was not the start to the week Atlanta was looking for. After taking 2 of 3 from the struggling Brewers, the Braves get three more chances to get their footing against the toothless Cubbies.
Brewers/30-24/6/5 - Brew Crew continues to slump. Braun has already been called up, and (not to sound like a broken record, but...) Gallardo should follow soon. 2-5 last week was ugly, but inexplicably Milwaukee still holds a 6.5 game lead against the 2nd place Pirates (no that is not a typo).
Phillies/26-27/7/9 - Only a .500 week, but a sweep of the Braves has to count for something, right? Looks like Alfonseca will be the go-to-guy in the 9th for now...Look for some exciting endings!
Rockies/25-29/8/12 - The pitching is still questionable, but you have to love the way these kids have started to swing the bat. Any baseball fan who doesn't know Tulowitzki by now will by the end of the season. There simply is nothing this kid can't do defensively, and his bat could eventually yield .300-25-100 seasons.
Marlins/26-28/9/8 - The Fish drop a spot after a 3-4 week. It's nice to get a sweep against the Cubs, but the Mets gave Florida the same treatment Friday through Sunday. Who cares how much Cabrera weighs? The kid can flat out rake! .323/.397/.556/.953, with 10HR 14 2b and 37 RBI
Giants/25-27/10/7 - Zito looked like an ace for a game; so did Morris. Unfortunately, Cain and Lincecum are the only 2 sure things on the staff right now. That said, I love the upside of a Cain/Lincecum/Lowry/Zito/Sanchez staff for '08 and beyond. Bonds's slump has shown how fickle this offense truly is without its primary cog.
Pirates/23-30/11/15 - A 4-3 week may not be anything spectacular, but given the current state of National League baseball, it's enough for a four spot climb in the PnR PowerRankings. Odds are the Bucs will rejoin the bottom third of the Rankings next week with series against LA and Washington, but enjoy the bump (and 2nd in the NL Central) while it lasts.
Cardinals/22-29/12/13 - 3-4 this week, but series against the 'Stros and Reds gives a little hope to the Redbirds. If the Brewers continue their slide into next week, the Cards are amazingly in position to jump back into the NL Central Race.
Cubs/22-30/13/10 - Most drastically overhauled team continues to underperform. Actually, for anyone who was paying attention to the offseason, isn't this what we really expected? I hate to say it, Lou, but Tampa is looking pretty good right now.
Nationals/22-32/14/14- Nat's are doing their best to make sure the 2007 Season is not the record-breaking disaster that so many (myself included) predicted. DC gets the Padres and the Pirates this week.
Astros/22-31/15/11 - So...how do you drop from 6 to 15 in two weeks? You go 2-11, and get outscored 95-27. Right now, the Longhorns and Aggies would be sizeable favorites against the Astros...And I'm talking about these guys ---------->
Reds/21-34/16/16- The good news is Homer Bailey has looked sharp since returning to action. The bad news is the Reds are much more than one pitcher away from being a respectable Major League team.
NL MVP: Prince Fielder, Brewers (.293/.374/.635/1.009, 19 HR, 43 RBI, 14 2B)
NL Cy Young: Jake Peavy, Padres (7-1, 1.68 ERA, 0.98 WHIP, .200 BAA, 92 K/21 BB/80.1 IP)
NL RoY: Hunter Pence, Astros (.348/.380/.583/.963, 4 HR, 19 RBI, 16 of 40 hits for extra bases)
Wednesday, May 30, 2007
Road to Omaha: Regionals (Part 2 of 4)
The Field:
Wes Etheridge, RHP, UC Irvine (pictured right) - Etheridge turned in an impressive season for the Anteaters (11-4, 2.88, .264, 96K, 24BB, 109.1 IP), and will likely be the arm they turn to on Saturday against Texas. Provided Scott Gorgon (the only other UC-I pitcher to start 10 or more games) can lead them past Wake on Friday, Etheridge's Saturday start will be the most important of the Regional.